China’s Plan to Backstab Russia Exposed by Diplomat Defector

Poonam Sharma
With the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) drawing near its clandestine annual summer getaway at Beidaihe, Beijing’s opaque political waters are starting to boil with unprecedented ferocity. Rumors, defections, diplomatic faux pas, and classified strategic papers have all come together to paint a picture of profound instability in the Chinese political order — and a seismic shift in its foreign policy stance, especially as it pertains to Russia.

This report, assembled from leaked documents, insider accounts, and credible dissident voices, presents a shocking picture of Xi Jinping’s tenuous internal hold on power, his transactional relationship with Vladimir Putin, and Beijing’s desperate bet to shape a post-war world order in its image.

The Rumor Mill: Smoke Behind the Curtain
Each summer, political factions within the CCP grab the Beidaihe retreat as a chance to put pressure, spread rumors, and destabilize competitors. This summer, the rumor campaign has darkened. Rumors are circulating that Xi Jinping has serious health issues — Parkinson’s disease, underactive thyroid, heart complications, kidney dysfunction, and liver disease potentially due to alcohol use.

There are also explosive personal rumors: that Xi’s wife has left him, distanced herself from her husband’s controversial past, and is involved in a shadowy internal power play. While unverified, the volume and virulence of these rumors indicate a weakening prestige of the leader once considered unchallengeable.

Defection and Betrayal: A Chinese Official’s Flight to Russia
One of the most significant developments to emerge is the defection of a mid-ranking Chinese diplomat from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The official allegedly had a personal falling out with seniors, escaped to Russia with a colleague’s wife, and passed over a cache of extremely sensitive documents.

These documents, now partly confirmed by insiders and analysts, supposedly included Beijing’s covert fallback plan if Russia lost the war in Ukraine and Putin’s regime toppled. The two strategic alternatives proposed were:

Lead Russia toward a new communist regime pro-Chinese by backing the Communist Party of Russia and grabbing control of the post-Putin vacuum.

Divide Russia, support the formation of an “Eastern Russian Federation” under the jurisdiction of China, and lock up Siberian land for its energy reserves and military depth — effectively cutting out a client state to serve as a buffer against the West.

The files contemplated Chinese deployments of troops, energy grabs, and efforts to reroute Russia’s befuddled political compass in Beijing’s direction. This plan, in a very literal sense, was a backstab of Putin — a Plan B if the Kremlin were to fall.

Putin’s Response: Nuclear Messaging and Diplomatic Leverage
Rather than turning a blind eye to the betrayal, the Russian Foreign Ministry moved quickly, it was reported. By mid-June, the defected Chinese official, his mistress, and her husband were returned quietly to Beijing. With them came a diplomatic pouch containing a message whose tone and content were clear:
“Russia is an unshakable power, guarded by nuclear weapons.”

This was not rhetoric. This was a warning. And although Putin seethed, he didn’t snap completely. Rather, he leveraged the betrayal, demanding more from Beijing.

The Brussels Slip: Beijing’s Mask Fails
On July 2nd, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, in a diplomatic encounter in Brussels, dropped a bombshell:
“China cannot afford for Russia to lose in Ukraine.”

This was a blatant departure from China’s long-held image of neutrality in the war. The remark, while reported by the South China Morning Post (commonly regarded as a CCP-affiliated publication), is now thought to have been issued on direct instructions from Xi Jinping.

Why? Because already Putin had been presented with Beijing’s treachery. In order to restore relations, Wang’s public declaration was an apology, a vow of allegiance, and a diplomatic bribe. The “peace-loving mediator” mask was thrown away — not by mistake, but by design.

The Strategic Agreement: A New Sino-Russian Pact?
Following the defector crisis, China and Russia are now racing to seal a broad strategic accord, to be inked at a military parade in Beijing on September 3rd, marking the anniversary of the victory of WWII.

According to insider sources, the accord will encompass:

China’s across-the-board backing for Russian actions in Ukraine and Europe.

Military and intel cooperation, including nuclear submarine deployments in the Arctic.

Mutual military pressure on Japan to erode its pro-Taiwan stance.

Energy and logistics assurances for China in the event of a Taiwan Strait war.

In effect, this amounts to an alliance for war — not so different from the Cold War alliances of yore.

Internal CCP Panic: Delicate Power, Factional Chess
Xi’s inner circle is reportedly in disarray. With opposition from within the party (notably from elder statesmen like Jiang Yuesheng and shadowy figures like Zhang Gaoli), there’s hesitation to intervene in foreign policy — unless it fails spectacularly, allowing them to blame Xi.

While that is happening, China’s most vital instruments of internal control, the Public Security Ministry and State Security Ministry, seem to be destabilized. Top officials have disappeared from public sight, and there are indications of loyalty shifts toward anti-Xi factions.

The Broader Picture: The Return of Imperial Strategy
What emerges from all of this is a clear shift in Chinese geopolitical thinking: from quiet economic expansionism to assertive imperial realignment. Xi’s China is no longer content with being the “world’s factory” — it now seeks to:

Expand ideological influence via alliances with authoritarian regimes.

Reshape borders with strategic military and political pressure.

Undermine Western resolve by overextending U.S. attention (Ukraine, Taiwan, South China Sea).

Take advantage of Russia’s weakening to gain resources, territory, and regional hegemony.

The Tenuous “Alliance”: Xi-Putin Mutual Suspicions
In spite of recent public showmanship, both Russia and China do not trust the other. Putin is aware that China can betray him. China is aware that Russia could turn to the West, particularly if Trump is restored in America.

Western spy agencies are also said to be tracking China’s activities within Russia — from spying to recruiting Russian officials, and scholarly rationalizations for future claims in Siberia.

Conclusion: A Dangerous Gamble with Global Implications
Xi Jinping’s bet — attempting to obtain Russian territory, strengthen alliances, and challenge the West simultaneously — is dangerous and perhaps unsustainable. It is evidence, however, of the desperation of a regime losing external credibility and internal control.

The strategic gambit in favor of Russia has nothing to do with loyalty. It’s about survival, leverage, and preparation for future conflict — particularly regarding Taiwan.

The world must now deal with a China not only opportunistic, but also militarily and ideologically assertive, unwilling to employ betrayal and backchannel politics to advance its objectives. Global power balance is changing, not only in rhetoric, but in blueprints drawn in secret — and occasionally leaked in scandal.