India GDP growth forecast at 6.8% S&P Galobal reports

Anjali Sharma

GG News Bureau
NEW YORK, 25th June.
S&P Global Ratings on Monday retained India’s GDP growth forecast for the Financial Year 2023-24 at 6.8% and said high interest rates and lower fiscal spur would temper demand.

The ratings agency said India’s economic growth continues to surprise on the upside with the economy growing 8.2 per cent in fiscal year 2023-24 in its economic outlook for Asia Pacific.

“We expect growth to moderate to 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, with high interest rates and lower fiscal spur tempering demand in the non-agricultural sectors,” it said.

S&P Global said that for the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, the growth rates are projected at 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent.

S&P raised China 2024 GDP growth forecast to 4.8 per cent, from 4.6 per cent but sees a sequential slowdown in the second quarter.

It said that the combination of subdued consumption and robust manufacturing investment will weigh on prices and profit margins.

The rating agency noted that in the context of India, the S&P estimate for FY ’25 is lower than that of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

The RBI had this month projected the Indian economy to expand at 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal, on the back of improving rural demand and moderating inflation.

Other key rating agencies like Fitch estimated India’s growth at 7.2 per cent in FY ’25, the Asian Development Bank estimates India’s GDP to grow at 7 per cent.

Moody’s Ratings and Deloitte India estimate India’s GDP to grow at 6.6 per cent in 2024-25 fiscal, while Morgan Stanley projects growth rate of 6.8 per cent.

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